Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.995858 12.834539 14.838735 17.179438 19.831671 22.737034 26.153768
2025-11-23 7.507244 9.906780 12.798485 16.510061 21.114470 26.603560 33.603453
2025-11-30 5.999747 8.717554 12.256574 17.132919 23.597145 31.783455 42.831050
2025-12-07 5.004379 7.890347 11.900092 17.755885 25.943453 36.818515 52.154056
2025-12-14 4.004055 6.821112 10.979876 17.386578 26.786053 39.811414 58.901324
2025-12-21 3.221368 5.905511 10.099735 16.886960 27.288869 42.260309 64.963118
2025-12-28 2.888277 5.631644 10.125786 17.697501 29.718260 47.551612 75.333061
2026-01-04 2.571744 5.321712 10.034567 18.282309 31.813716 52.456729 85.417769
2026-01-11 2.220387 4.881791 9.655363 18.331831 33.035103 56.085730 93.780179
2026-01-18 1.924647 4.489210 9.295804 18.353566 34.178990 59.628970 102.178714
2026-01-25 1.618929 4.017052 8.721109 17.919363 34.494913 61.841358 108.581281
2026-02-01 1.379588 3.635394 8.258552 17.621960 34.993265 64.344160 115.545452
2026-02-08 1.148983 3.241167 7.744794 17.227749 35.390174 66.882143 123.041146
2026-02-15 0.923441 2.808874 7.091196 16.494163 35.125099 68.323990 128.908329
2026-02-22 0.837444 2.700665 7.110286 17.105021 37.418563 74.357895 142.925598
2026-03-01 0.762261 2.602680 7.135120 17.725007 39.773612 80.641919 157.722155
2026-03-08 0.637494 2.335027 6.722794 17.355885 40.139660 83.335918 166.348355
2026-03-15 0.526589 2.074887 6.280648 16.856965 40.181809 85.409917 173.953663
2026-03-22 0.492869 2.044657 6.408486 17.666257 42.988546 92.846320 191.685093
2026-03-29 0.452301 1.981274 6.439658 18.250175 45.360849 99.582188 208.454412
2026-04-05 0.395890 1.847015 6.257945 18.299622 46.580769 104.143754 221.385162
2026-04-12 0.346064 1.720526 6.075150 18.321324 47.734267 108.630974 234.386069
2026-04-19 0.289706 1.549136 5.730777 17.887779 47.821482 110.973232 243.375221